
Brent settled 1.6% lower and WTI fell 2.2% on Monday, October 2, 2023, extending a fourth straight daily decline. Brent traded below $90 a barrel on Tuesday.
Fed officials signaled that rates would stay restrictive for some time to bring inflation down.
Expectations of higher-for-longer rates raise recession risk and reduce expected oil demand, which weighs on crude and diesel prices. Stronger dollar conditions can also affect commodity import demand.
在过去 312 次看跌的宏观事件之后,原油(Brent) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -1.7%(38% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -5.4% 至 +2.3%),20 个交易日内为 -1.7%。
在过去 565 次看跌的宏观事件之后,原油(WTI) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -1.4%(41% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -5.9% 至 +3.0%),20 个交易日内为 -0.5%。
在过去 2,356 次看涨的宏观事件之后,美元(广义) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.2%(60% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -0.3% 至 +0.7%),20 个交易日内为 +0.4%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
A fourth straight daily decline on restrictive Fed rate signals and macro concerns added to the early-window drop.
Covers Oct 2 settlement declines and hawkish Fed signals of restrictive rates, a macro demand/sentiment headwind, though it reports a smaller 1.6% settlement move.
Prior declines on macro concerns and a restrictive Fed set up a weak sentiment backdrop that made the Oct 4 drop sharper.