February Nymex gas futures fell 9.5 cents to $3.523/mmBtu, down 11.6% since the January contract expired. Forecasts turned materially warmer, with temperatures expected to average about 50°F and no major cold shots through January 19.
Analysts estimated the revision could remove about 35 Bcf of demand from a 15-day outlook.
Warmer forecasts cut projected heating demand and reduce the risk of freeze-offs, which lowers near-term gas price expectations.
在过去 104 次看跌的天气事件之后,天然气 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -7.8%(22% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -14.8% 至 -0.8%),20 个交易日内为 -3.3%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
Forecasts turned materially warmer with no major cold through Jan 19, removing about 35 Bcf of demand and leaving Feb Nymex down 11.6% since the January contract expired.