
USDA Ag Secretary Brooke Rollins said the US will not reopen the border to Mexican cattle while New World screwworm remains a threat, which initially supported prices. A later report that President Trump was very interested in reopening the border triggered a sharp selloff, with December live cattle down $4.42 and January feeders down $7.30 on Tuesday.
Uncertainty over reopening Mexican feeder cattle imports creates swings in futures, and the market reaction shows how quickly headlines can override tight-supply fundamentals.
在过去 121 次看跌的贸易事件之后,活牛 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.6%(40% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.6% 至 +0.8%),20 个交易日内为 -0.3%。
在过去 87 次看跌的贸易事件之后,架子牛 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.4%(54% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -3.2% 至 +1.9%),20 个交易日内为 +1.1%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
A report that Trump was keen to reopen the Mexican border triggered a sharp selloff, with January feeders down $7.30 on Nov 4, despite Rollins' earlier supportive comments.
Report that Trump was interested in reopening the Mexican border triggered a sharp selloff (Dec live cattle -$4.42 on Nov 4), squarely within the 5-day window, through supply-expectation and sentiment effects.