
Rabobank reports that combined milk supply growth from major exporters slowed to 0.8 percent in the third quarter of 2018 and is expected to stay well under 1 percent in 2019. Drought in northwestern Europe and Australia reduced feed and forage output, while tight US farm margins and Dutch phosphate rules also reduce output.
Drought-reduced forage and feed supply plus slowing milk output tightens global dairy supply, supporting milk prices and higher feed costs for dairy producers.
在过去 32 次看涨的天气事件之后,牛奶(III类) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.1%(50% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -0.7% 至 +3.4%),20 个交易日内为 +3.2%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
Rabobank's report of slowing milk supply growth from major exporters, driven by drought, tight margins and Dutch phosphate rules, supports a tighter supply outlook and higher futures.