
DTN reports that the Brazilian real roughly doubled its daily chart range and fell sharply on May 17, 2017, after fresh news tied President Temer to alleged bribes linked to a JBS executive's testimony. The move was not caused by pension reform or central bank rate expectations.
The currency shock makes Brazilian soybean exports more competitive, which is bearish for U.S. soybean and corn prices and adds uncertainty for buyers.
在过去 273 次看跌的宏观事件之后,大豆 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.4%(44% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -2.4% 至 +1.4%),20 个交易日内为 -0.5%。
在过去 301 次看跌的宏观事件之后,玉米 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.1%(47% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -2.2% 至 +1.3%),20 个交易日内为 +0.2%。
在过去 301 次看涨的宏观事件之后,巴西雷亚尔(每 USD 的 BRL) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.4%(57% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.2% 至 +1.7%),20 个交易日内为 +1.0%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
Identifies the scandal tied to the JBS executive's testimony, rather than rates or reform, as the cause of the sharp real drop and widened range.