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A Nidera analyst says grain prices over harvest will be set by global supply, demand, stocks and weather rather than Brexit. In June, markets rallied on adverse weather affecting Argentine soybeans and Brazil's safrinha corn.
Attention has shifted to La Nina, which could bring late-summer heat to US corn and soybean areas, though it has been weaker than feared.
Weather risk in the US and South America keeps corn and soybean prices sensitive to crop news, and a weaker pound supports UK grain prices.
在过去 445 次中性的天气事件之后,玉米 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.1%(52% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +1.6%),20 个交易日内为 +0.7%。
在过去 324 次中性的天气事件之后,大豆 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.0%(52% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +1.7%),20 个交易日内为 +0.7%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。