
Urea prices in the US NOLA market fell about $30/short ton as buyers awaited the delayed India tender. February barge values were $38/short ton below the mid-month peak.
Middle Eastern producers held off offering, with the last spot price cited at $437/tonne FOB ex-Qatar, while phosphate prices were expected to fall as Chinese exports resume.
The delayed India tender removes a key source of demand and pushes urea prices lower. Expected Chinese phosphate exports point to softer DAP prices, while potash is firm on demand.
在过去 81 次看跌的贸易事件之后,尿素 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -1.0%(28% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -7.2% 至 +0.4%),20 个交易日内为 -5.5%。
在过去 40 次看跌的贸易事件之后,DAP 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.1%(38% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -3.7% 至 +0.5%),20 个交易日内为 -2.4%。
历史可比事件尚不足,暂无法给出历史解读。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。