
A Bloomberg analysis says a strengthening dollar and a weakening yuan are creating cross-currents for global growth. It notes that President-elect Trump has promised tariffs and a currency manipulator label to shrink the US trade deficit with China.
Both governments want to avoid a trade war.
Persistent yuan weakness and dollar strength raise the risk of US-China tariff escalation, which could reduce US farm export demand to China. The currency gap therefore carries an indirect bearish risk for US grain and oilseed prices.
在过去 398 次看涨的宏观事件之后,人民币(每 USD 的 CNY) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.0%(56% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -0.3% 至 +0.5%),20 个交易日内为 +0.0%。
在过去 2,356 次看涨的宏观事件之后,美元(广义) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.2%(60% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -0.3% 至 +0.7%),20 个交易日内为 +0.4%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。