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Analyst Nirgunan Tiruchelvam of Religare Capital Markets said emerging-market currency weakness after Trump's election win will boost soft commodities such as palm oil and rubber. Local-currency producers gain as dollar-priced commodities translate into higher domestic revenues.
The rupiah and ringgit both fell sharply against the dollar in the days after the vote.
Weaker producer currencies make palm oil more competitive and raise local-currency prices, supporting palm-based feed ingredient prices.
在过去 38 次看涨的宏观事件之后,棕榈油 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.5%(61% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -0.5% 至 +3.0%),20 个交易日内为 -0.3%。
历史可比事件尚不足,暂无法给出历史解读。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。