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Macquarie analyst David Doyle forecasts the Canadian dollar could fall to about 65 US cents within 12 months from around 74 cents. The forecast cites widening US-Canada interest rate divergence and lower oil prices.
The Bank of Canada is expected to hold rates through 2017.
A weaker loonie would lower the US-dollar price of Canadian exports, while the forecast reflects expected downward pressure on oil.
历史可比事件尚不足,暂无法给出历史解读。
在过去 565 次看跌的宏观事件之后,原油(WTI) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -1.4%(41% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -5.9% 至 +3.0%),20 个交易日内为 -0.5%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。