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Hard red winter wheat basis bids were flat across the southern Plains on July 10 as futures rallied and some farmers sold grain. KC September wheat rose more than 3% to $6.75 per bushel after Russia temporarily halted shipping through the Don-Azov channel.
USDA pegged 2026-27 US wheat production at 1.536 billion bushels, with HRW output at 471 million bushels, down from 497 million in June.
The smallest US wheat crop since 1970/71 and a Black Sea shipping halt tighten global wheat supply, supporting prices. Farmer selling to ease storage constraints adds some near-term supply that may cap basis gains.
sahmcapital.com2026年7月10日在过去 102 次看涨的贸易事件之后，小麦(HRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 0.0%（49% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -2.0% 至 +3.5%），20 个交易日内为 -1.4%。
在过去 431 次看涨的贸易事件之后，小麦(SRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.0%（50% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -1.3% 至 +2.1%），20 个交易日内为 +0.5%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件；仅描述已发生的情况，不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
KC September wheat rose over 3% to $6.75 on July 10 on the Azov halt, and USDA cut HRW output to 471 million bushels, which tightens HRW supply.
