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Analysts at Tudor Pickering Holt and Again Capital say US natural gas could fall about 40% to $2/MMBtu or lower if President Trump's dispute with Mexico escalates and pipeline exports to Mexico are halted. Those exports were as much as 5% of US gas production last year, though the analysts do not expect a full cutoff.
A halt in pipeline exports would create a domestic gas surplus and push prices down, which would lower energy costs for US feed and ethanol plants.
在过去 24 次看跌的贸易事件之后,天然气 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +2.8%(54% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -4.5% 至 +7.3%),20 个交易日内为 -1.2%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。