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A UBS foreign exchange strategist said China will keep losing capital and that the yuan will weaken further. He expects China's foreign exchange reserves to fall to $2.7-2.8 trillion by year-end.
Economists polled by Reuters had expected a January reserves drop of about $10.5 billion.
Capital outflows and reserve drawdowns signal continued pressure on the yuan, which tends to lift USD/CNY. A weaker yuan can reduce China's import demand for US and Brazilian feed commodities at the margin.
在过去 398 次看涨的宏观事件之后,人民币(每 USD 的 CNY) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.0%(56% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -0.3% 至 +0.5%),20 个交易日内为 +0.0%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。