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A Canadian grain columnist says Russia's grain output has grown 70 percent in ten years to 94.5 million tonnes and that Russia is set to overtake the EU as the top wheat exporter. He also notes Black Sea exports exceed 80 million tonnes per year and that South American beans are gaining easier port access.
Growing Black Sea export capacity adds supply competition for wheat and feed grains, which is generally bearish for world wheat and corn prices over time.
在过去 69 次看跌的宏观事件之后,小麦(SRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.5%(35% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -2.6% 至 +0.8%),20 个交易日内为 -0.7%。
在过去 301 次看跌的宏观事件之后,玉米 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.1%(47% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -2.2% 至 +1.3%),20 个交易日内为 +0.2%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。