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Goldman Sachs says the OPEC production agreement has had unintended effects, with oversupply from market-share battles pushing the oil market into contango. In contango, futures trade above spot prices, so traders are willing to pay more for later delivery.
Contango signals near-term oversupply and encourages storage, which weighs on spot crude prices and the energy costs that feed into commodity markets.
在过去 187 次中性的政策事件之后,原油(WTI) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.1%(49% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -4.0% 至 +3.5%),20 个交易日内为 +0.1%。
在过去 833 次政策事件之后,原油(Brent) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.6%(54% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -3.3% 至 +3.7%),20 个交易日内为 +1.3%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。