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A St. Louis Fed note asks whether OPEC still controls oil prices, noting OPEC holds 42 percent of world output while prices barely reacted to the September and November 2016 cut announcements. It cites rising non-OPEC output, which grew 3.1 percent in 2015.
A weaker OPEC price effect means cuts may deliver less price support than markets expect, keeping crude and energy-linked costs more exposed to supply growth.
在过去 565 次看跌的宏观事件之后,原油(WTI) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -1.4%(41% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -5.9% 至 +3.0%),20 个交易日内为 -0.5%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。