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China is ending its corn stockpiling program and working to cut a state reserve that peaked near 250 million tonnes. Rabobank expects a further surplus of about 30 million tonnes in 2016-17 and plans to reduce corn acreage by 9% by 2020.
Large state inventories being liquidated and acreage shifting toward soybeans weigh on China's corn import needs and domestic prices, supporting a bearish outlook for corn and a relatively firmer view for soybeans.
在过去 310 次看跌的政策事件之后,玉米 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.3%(54% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +1.9%),20 个交易日内为 +0.6%。
在过去 356 次看涨的政策事件之后,大豆 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.1%(53% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.2% 至 +2.3%),20 个交易日内为 -0.9%。
历史可比事件尚不足,暂无法给出历史解读。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。