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A St. Louis Fed Economic Synopses essay says China is using capital controls and other tools to resist yuan devaluation pressure. It cites options pricing from September 2016 that implied a 22 percent chance of a 10 percent devaluation within a year.
Rate hikes that would support the yuan could slow the economy.
Yuan defence measures that tighten money or limit capital could slow Chinese growth and feed demand. The effect on feed prices is indirect and the analysis is dated.
在过去 169 次中性的宏观事件之后,人民币(每 USD 的 CNY) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.0%(50% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -0.3% 至 +0.2%),20 个交易日内为 -0.0%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。