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S&P Global analyst Gary Hornby argues the US natural gas system is tightening, with 2016 output falling for the first time since 2005 while demand from power generation, Mexico pipeline exports and LNG rises. Weather-sensitive demand could create regional or national imbalances.
A tighter US gas balance would lift Henry Hub, which sets the floor for US LNG export pricing and therefore European and Asian gas prices. Feed-relevant impact is indirect, via natural gas costs for fertilizer and ethanol plants.
在过去 155 次看涨的宏观事件之后,天然气 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.1%(51% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -4.0% 至 +7.1%),20 个交易日内为 +2.0%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。