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S&P Global's market analysis series examines why crude oil prices have failed to rally despite OPEC-led supply cuts. It cites Platts RigData showing 280 active Permian horizontal rigs, about 40% of US horizontal drilling, and analysts calling for $60/b by year-end.
Rising US shale drilling offsets OPEC cuts, capping crude upside and weighing on energy-linked feed costs. Bearish pressure on crude tends to lower biofuel-linked demand for vegetable oils and corn.
在过去 565 次看跌的宏观事件之后,原油(WTI) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -1.4%(41% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -5.9% 至 +3.0%),20 个交易日内为 -0.5%。
在过去 312 次看跌的宏观事件之后,原油(Brent) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -1.7%(38% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -5.4% 至 +2.3%),20 个交易日内为 -1.7%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。