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The November 2017 MPP margin rose $0.39 per cwt to $10.39, driven by a higher all-milk price and a lower feed cost, with corn prices contributing the largest decline. CME futures suggest the margin will drop below $8.00 per cwt in early 2018 as cheese and whey prices fall.
A forecast fall in the all-milk price would reduce dairy farmers' margins and could cut their feed purchasing. Lower corn and soybean meal costs in the feed formula partly offset this for producers.
nmpf.org2018年1月5日在过去 273 次看跌的报告事件之后，牛奶(III类) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.2%（39% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -1.3% 至 +0.4%），20 个交易日内为 -1.4%。
在过去 1,102 次看跌的报告事件之后，玉米 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.2%（47% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -1.8% 至 +1.3%），20 个交易日内为 +0.0%。
在过去 399 次看跌的报告事件之后，豆粕 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.4%（44% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -2.4% 至 +1.2%），20 个交易日内为 -1.0%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件；仅描述已发生的情况，不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
CME futures implying lower cheese and whey prices and a shrinking margin signal bearish pricing for Class III through early 2018.
NMPF noted CME futures imply the margin falling below $8 as cheese and whey prices fall, pointing to weak Class III inputs and bearish sentiment.
