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December US wheat futures fell 3.3% to 7.4% on Friday after USDA raised its 2023 US wheat production forecast to 49.32 million tons from 47.19 million, above analyst estimates. Wheat stocks were slightly above expectations.
Ukrainian Black Sea port exports also rose, adding pressure.
The USDA production surprise and rising Black Sea shipments lower world wheat prices and reduce U.S. export competitiveness. Buyers can expect cheaper wheat, especially for HRW and SRW classes.
ukragroconsult.com2023年10月2日在过去 1,006 次看跌的报告事件之后，小麦(SRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.0%（50% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -1.6% 至 +1.8%），20 个交易日内为 +0.3%。
在过去 138 次看跌的报告事件之后，小麦(HRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.0%（50% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -2.9% 至 +2.4%），20 个交易日内为 +0.5%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件；仅描述已发生的情况，不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
It reports the USDA raising its production forecast above estimates and Ukrainian port exports rising, which are bearish supply factors that weighed on prices, though the main drop was Friday.
