CBOT wheat for December delivery fell 6.6% on September 29 after USDA quarterly stocks and Small Grains reports showed higher wheat and soybean stocks and higher wheat production than analysts expected. Corn stocks came in lower than expected.
Wheat had lost 17% during the third quarter, with Russian export supplies cited as a major pressure.
Bigger-than-expected U.S. wheat supplies and soybean stocks loosen balance sheets and weigh on futures. Feed grain buyers should expect softer wheat and soybean complex prices, with corn cushioned by its lower stocks.
在过去 1,006 次看跌的报告事件之后,小麦(SRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.0%(50% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.6% 至 +1.8%),20 个交易日内为 +0.3%。
在过去 788 次看跌的报告事件之后,大豆 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.3%(47% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -2.0% 至 +1.5%),20 个交易日内为 -0.9%。
在过去 1,102 次看跌的报告事件之后,玉米 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.2%(47% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.8% 至 +1.3%),20 个交易日内为 +0.0%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
The USDA Small Grains and quarterly stocks reports on Sept 29 triggered a 6.6% selloff on higher-than-expected wheat production and stocks plus Russian export pressure, but the timing is a trading day before the window, so this is mainly carry-over.