
Texas A&M economist Mark Welch reports that Brazil's political crisis has hit its stock market and currency, with the IBOV index down 10% and the real falling about 9% in a week. A weaker real raised Brazilian farmer prices, which may encourage farmers to sell their large harvest and pressure Chicago soybean prices.
Corn export sales were described as strong.
Brazilian farmer selling of a large crop, prompted by a weaker real, adds supply pressure on soybean prices while U.S. corn demand stays firm.
在过去 273 次看跌的宏观事件之后,大豆 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.4%(44% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -2.4% 至 +1.4%),20 个交易日内为 -0.5%。
在过去 78 次中性的宏观事件之后,玉米 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.3%(55% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.1% 至 +1.6%),20 个交易日内为 -0.6%。
在过去 213 次看跌的宏观事件之后,巴西雷亚尔(每 USD 的 BRL) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.2%(46% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.5% 至 +0.9%),20 个交易日内为 +0.2%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。