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Commentary on the May WASDE says US wheat production will be significantly lower than last year, while foreign output is projected marginally below 2016/17. US farmers are expected to hold about 6.7% of world wheat, with prices seen staying below production cost, and protein above 11.5% could add about 50 cents.
Lower US and slightly lower world output point to firmer wheat prices, though ample stocks cap gains. Protein premiums matter for buyers choosing feed and milling grades.
在过去 180 次看涨的报告事件之后,小麦(HRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.4%(53% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -2.1% 至 +3.7%),20 个交易日内为 -0.6%。
在过去 769 次看涨的报告事件之后,小麦(SRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.2%(53% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +2.0%),20 个交易日内为 +0.2%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。