The European Commission's May MARS bulletin cut EU harvest estimates due to cold and dry conditions. Almost all major crops saw yield declines, with Spain's grain harvest, excluding maize, expected to be roughly halved versus last year.
European soft wheat yield is still 6.2% above last year and 1.2% above the five-year average.
A cut in EU yields, especially Spanish barley and grains, reduces export availability and supports world feed grain prices, though a healthy wheat crop limits the upside.
历史可比事件尚不足,暂无法给出历史解读。
在过去 1,072 次看涨的天气事件之后,小麦(SRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.2%(55% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +2.3%),20 个交易日内为 +0.3%。
在过去 445 次中性的天气事件之后,玉米 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.1%(52% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +1.6%),20 个交易日内为 +0.7%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。