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USDA's July 12 WASDE set the 2023 corn yield at 177.5 bu/acre, a 4-bushel cut from June, splitting the difference between model outcomes. New crop corn futures fell to $4.81, the lowest since March 2021, after the report.
The yield cut was in line with the average trade estimate, so the bearish price reaction reflects lower-than-hoped rally potential. Soybeans are seen having better upside than corn given the acreage shift.
在过去 1,102 次看跌的报告事件之后,玉米 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.2%(47% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.8% 至 +1.3%),20 个交易日内为 +0.0%。
在过去 747 次看涨的报告事件之后,大豆 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.3%(54% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +2.1%),20 个交易日内为 +0.8%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。