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The Australian Bureau of Meteorology downgraded its ENSO outlook to inactive, and Japan's agency also sees no El Niño development this winter. Eight international models suggest ENSO-neutral conditions for the second half of 2017, and NIWA is expected to follow.
Lower El Niño risk reduces the chance of drought for Australian and New Zealand grain and pasture, which eases supply concerns for feed grains and barley. Prices are likely to stay steady.
farmersweekly.co.nzGerhard Uys2017年6月22日历史可比事件尚不足，暂无法给出历史解读。
在过去 334 次看跌的天气事件之后，小麦(SRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.2%（47% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -1.9% 至 +1.7%），20 个交易日内为 -0.2%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件；仅描述已发生的情况，不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
