The USDA Foreign Agricultural Service estimates Argentina's 2017-18 soybean production at 54 million tonnes, with acreage up 100,000 hectares to 19.3 million but yields falling to 2.8 tonnes per hectare from 2.96. Argentina's soybean export tax will be cut by 0.5 percentage points monthly starting January 2018, and farmers are reportedly holding supplies in silo bags to wait for lower taxes.
A smaller crop estimate combined with farmer hoarding ahead of the export tax cut tightens near-term export availability of soybeans, meal and oil, which supports world soy product prices. The gradual tax reduction may later release stored supply and cap rallies.
在过去 747 次看涨的报告事件之后,大豆 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.3%(54% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +2.1%),20 个交易日内为 +0.8%。
在过去 414 次看涨的报告事件之后,豆粕 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.1%(48% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -2.1% 至 +2.3%),20 个交易日内为 +0.3%。
在过去 296 次看涨的报告事件之后,豆油 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.0%(49% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.8% 至 +2.0%),20 个交易日内为 -0.5%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。