The ICE U.S. Dollar Index jumped to a more-than-three-year high on March 19, 2020, up 3.9% for the week and 4.5% for the month. The Federal Reserve expanded dollar swap lines to nine countries, including Brazil, Mexico and South Korea, to meet heavy global demand for dollars amid the COVID-19 turmoil.
A surging dollar raises the local-currency cost of dollar debt and weakens emerging-market import capacity, which can pressure demand for US feed commodities and soybean meal in importing countries. Strength in the dollar generally weighs on dollar-denominated commodity prices.
在过去 2,356 次看涨的宏观事件之后,美元(广义) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.2%(60% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -0.3% 至 +0.7%),20 个交易日内为 +0.4%。
在过去 301 次看涨的宏观事件之后,巴西雷亚尔(每 USD 的 BRL) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.4%(57% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.2% 至 +1.7%),20 个交易日内为 +1.0%。
历史可比事件尚不足,暂无法给出历史解读。
在过去 301 次看跌的宏观事件之后,玉米 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.1%(47% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -2.2% 至 +1.3%),20 个交易日内为 +0.2%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
The dollar index hit a multi-year high on March 19 amid heavy global dollar demand, which pressured the real just before the March 20 move.