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ICE canola futures fell to a one-month low during the week ended July 28 before rallying $25 in three days as heat warnings covered Alberta and Saskatchewan. Analysts expect tight carryout and say the market may need to ration 1 to 2 million tonnes in 2017/18.
US spring wheat crop tour results also point to heat stress.
Heat stress on Prairie canola and US spring wheat raises yield risk and supports oilseed and wheat prices, with canola meal following the seed market.
历史可比事件尚不足,暂无法给出历史解读。
在过去 322 次看涨的天气事件之后,小麦(HRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.1%(49% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -2.5% 至 +3.2%),20 个交易日内为 +1.0%。
在过去 1,072 次看涨的天气事件之后,小麦(SRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.2%(55% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +2.3%),20 个交易日内为 +0.3%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。