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Michigan's dry summer and record late-September heat have left soybeans drier than optimal and pushed harvest up by one to two weeks. Nearly 30% of the state was abnormally dry and 3% was in moderate drought by the end of September.
Some dairy cows were also affected by the dry conditions.
Early, dry-harvested soybeans may carry shrink and quality discounts, and drought stress on pasture and cattle could support feed demand. The effect on national prices is limited because Michigan is a small producer.
在过去 324 次中性的天气事件之后,大豆 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.0%(52% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +1.7%),20 个交易日内为 +0.7%。
在过去 32 次看涨的天气事件之后,牛奶(III类) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.1%(50% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -0.7% 至 +3.4%),20 个交易日内为 +3.2%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。