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Australia's Bureau of Meteorology activated a La Nina Watch, giving a 50% chance of La Nina forming in late 2017. MIDF Research said excess rain in Malaysia and Indonesia could hurt output in flood-prone states, and it expects palm oil to reach RM3,500 per tonne if a strong La Nina develops.
The possible La Nina shifts the weather risk toward wetter conditions in key palm producers, which could reduce output and lift prices, though the impact depends on whether the event materialises and how strong it is.
在过去 181 次看涨的天气事件之后,棕榈油 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.5%(56% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -0.9% 至 +1.9%),20 个交易日内为 +0.3%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。