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ABARES signalled it will likely downgrade Australia's 2017/18 winter crop forecast in its December report, citing serious rainfall deficiencies from June to September in NSW, central and southern Queensland and parts of South Australia. Its current estimate is 36.3 million tonnes, 2% above the 10-year average.
A smaller Australian crop reduces exportable supply of wheat and barley, supporting world prices and firming feed grain alternatives for buyers.
graincentral.comGrain Central2017年10月13日在过去 1,072 次看涨的天气事件之后，小麦(SRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.2%（55% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +2.3%），20 个交易日内为 +0.3%。
历史可比事件尚不足，暂无法给出历史解读。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件；仅描述已发生的情况，不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
