
The EIA's November outlook forecasts the Brent-WTI spread at $6 per barrel through the first quarter of 2018, narrowing to $4 in the second half of 2018. The wider spread reflects transport bottlenecks moving crude from Cushing and the Permian basin to the U.S. Gulf Coast.
WTI averaged $6 below Brent in September and October.
Pipeline constraints keep inland U.S. crude discounted to Brent, which weighs on WTI-linked prices while Brent stays firmer. The effect on feed markets is indirect, through energy and biofuel input costs.
在过去 19 次看跌的物流事件之后,原油(WTI) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -1.5%(37% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -6.6% 至 +2.3%),20 个交易日内为 +5.3%。
在过去 22 次看涨的物流事件之后,原油(Brent) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.7%(45% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -5.7% 至 +4.5%),20 个交易日内为 -1.2%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。