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Steiner Consulting expects US beef production to keep growing over the next two years on an expanding beef cow herd, good pastures and ample feed. It sees US cattle slaughter rising 3.1% in 2018 and 2% in 2019, while Australian slaughter is forecast to recover from 20-year lows after drought liquidation.
A growing US beef supply and rising slaughter point to softer US cattle prices if exports do not absorb the extra beef. Australian export demand may also shift as US supply expands into Japan and Korea.
在过去 144 次看跌的报告事件之后,活牛 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.1%(49% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.1% 至 +0.9%),20 个交易日内为 +0.5%。
在过去 126 次看跌的报告事件之后,架子牛 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.1%(52% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.3% 至 +2.0%),20 个交易日内为 +0.6%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。