
Global unplanned oil supply outages fell in 2017, averaging 2.8 million b/d from January to October versus 3.8 million b/d in 2016. The decline was driven mainly by lower disruptions in Libya and Nigeria.
Outages are forecast to keep falling in 2018 and 2019, which offsets the impact of OPEC's cuts.
Falling outages add barrels back to the market and reduce the tightening effect of OPEC's cuts, which weighs on crude prices. Geopolitical risk in Libya, Nigeria and Venezuela could still reverse this trend.
在过去 129 次看跌的报告事件之后,原油(Brent) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -1.3%(45% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -3.9% 至 +2.5%),20 个交易日内为 +0.4%。
在过去 171 次看跌的报告事件之后,原油(WTI) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -1.5%(37% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -4.8% 至 +1.9%),20 个交易日内为 -0.9%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。