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USDA's Nov. 9 World Supply and Demand Estimates raised the US corn yield to a record 175.4 bpa despite drought in parts of the Plains and Corn Belt.
The author questions the estimate given the dry conditions and the poor crop ratings. Subsoil moisture data show drought stress was significant in the northwestern Plains.
A record yield estimate expands supply and weighs on corn futures and corn-based feed costs. Doubts about the number could make the market vulnerable to later downward revisions.
在过去 1,102 次看跌的报告事件之后,玉米 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.2%(47% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.8% 至 +1.3%),20 个交易日内为 +0.0%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。