Argentina's soybean sowing may be delayed by dryness, with little November rainfall so far and no rain forecast for parts of the north, Buenos Aires and Santa Fe. The Buenos Aires Grains Exchange estimates 18.1 million hectares for 2017/18 soybeans, with 12% ordered as of the prior Sunday.
Analysts had warned in October that La Niña could bring drought to the rest of the year.
Argentina is the largest soybean meal exporter, so planting delays and possible yield losses from La Niña dryness could tighten meal and soybean supplies later in the season and support prices.
在过去 1,079 次看涨的天气事件之后,大豆 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.3%(54% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +2.0%),20 个交易日内为 +0.9%。
在过去 453 次看涨的天气事件之后,豆粕 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.5%(55% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.6% 至 +2.7%),20 个交易日内为 +0.5%。
在过去 1,465 次看涨的天气事件之后,玉米 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.2%(54% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +1.9%),20 个交易日内为 +0.9%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。