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USDA's ERS December 14 oil crops outlook trimmed the 2017/18 US soybean export forecast by 25 million bushels to 2.225 billion as sales and shipments lag. Ending stocks were raised 20 million bushels to 445 million after a seed-use increase, and the season-average farm price range was narrowed to $8.60-$10.00.
The report also raised Brazil and Argentina export forecasts and noted record October crush.
Lower US export demand and higher ending stocks weigh on soybean prices, while competition from Brazilian and Argentine supplies keeps US market share under pressure. Crush demand remains steady, which limits the downside.
lancasterfarming.com2017年12月23日在过去 788 次看跌的报告事件之后，大豆 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.3%（47% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -2.0% 至 +1.5%），20 个交易日内为 -0.9%。
在过去 250 次中性的报告事件之后，豆粕 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.1%（49% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -1.6% 至 +1.7%），20 个交易日内为 +0.4%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件；仅描述已发生的情况，不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
