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Texas A&M economist Mark Welch told the Texas Wheat Symposium that world wheat acres are expected to fall and demand is rising, so he is fairly bullish on 2018 wheat prices if yields are normal. He noted that record global yields in 2017 had pressured prices and that the northern Plains drought lifted prices from $3.89 in 2016 to about $4.60.
A forecast of falling global carryover supports firmer wheat prices into 2018, which would raise feed wheat costs relative to corn if the outlook plays out.
texaswheat.orgadminstudionuma2017年12月20日在过去 10 次看涨的宏观事件之后，小麦(HRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.8%（60% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -1.9% 至 +3.1%），20 个交易日内为 +1.3%。
在过去 57 次看涨的宏观事件之后，小麦(SRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.3%（65% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -0.5% 至 +1.7%），20 个交易日内为 -0.7%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件；仅描述已发生的情况，不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
