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Westpac strategists say the Australian dollar has risen 5.7% over eight weeks, well ahead of their fair value model. They attribute up to 70% of the rise to US dollar weakness, and note that commodity prices are at one-year highs.
The analysis suggests the Aussie is overextended, which could lead to a correction. Strong Australian commodity prices and a weak US dollar support dollar-priced export values.
在过去 359 次中性的宏观事件之后,美元(广义) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.0%(49% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -0.4% 至 +0.4%),20 个交易日内为 -0.1%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。