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Westpac analysts say the USD started 2018 on a strong depreciation path and expect a weaker dollar in the second half of 2018. They point to Fed policy reaching neutral and midterm election risks as headwinds.
They reject the idea that extreme undervaluation will support the dollar.
A forecast of a weaker dollar supports dollar-denominated feed ingredient prices and export competitiveness for US product. Buyers may face higher import costs in dollar terms if the trend continues.
在过去 1,637 次看跌的宏观事件之后,美元(广义) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.2%(39% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -0.6% 至 +0.3%),20 个交易日内为 -0.2%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。