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Brent futures have moved into their largest and most sustained backwardation since mid-2014, with the market's prompt prices trading above deferred contracts. The column attributes the tightening of inventories and spreads to OPEC output restraint.
Steep backwardation signals tight prompt crude supply, which lifts diesel and energy costs for feed mills and transport and tends to support the energy-linked component of grain and oilseed prices.
在过去 487 次看涨的宏观事件之后,原油(WTI) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +1.0%(60% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -2.0% 至 +4.0%),20 个交易日内为 +1.5%。
在过去 323 次看涨的宏观事件之后,原油(Brent) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.7%(58% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -2.9% 至 +3.7%),20 个交易日内为 +1.3%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。