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ING analysts expect Chinese authorities to hold USD/CNY relatively stable rather than devalue, with a one-month neutral bias and a 3-month forecast of 7.10. They see the Korean won as more vulnerable and expect tariffs may not take effect until late 2025 or 2026.
Stable yuan expectations reduce the risk of sharp Chinese import cost swings, while the timing of tariffs leaves feed demand uncertainty for the coming year.
在过去 169 次中性的宏观事件之后,人民币(每 USD 的 CNY) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.0%(50% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -0.3% 至 +0.2%),20 个交易日内为 -0.0%。
历史可比事件尚不足,暂无法给出历史解读。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。