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A COFCO International trader reports that Australia's wheat harvest is nearing completion and crop size is closer to 22 million tonnes than the feared 20 million. Attention is moving to export demand, with an export task around 16 million tonnes, down from about 7 million tonnes more last season, and Black Sea and Argentine wheat priced US$25-30/t below Australian ASW.
Lower export demand for Australian wheat and price competition from cheaper Black Sea and Argentine supplies are bearish for Australian wheat values.
在过去 375 次看跌的贸易事件之后,小麦(SRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.2%(47% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -2.0% 至 +1.1%),20 个交易日内为 -0.1%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。