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University of Nebraska climatologist Al Dutcher says early signs of a possible El Niño developing in the second half of 2018 could bring warmer, drier conditions to the western Corn Belt. He says the timing depends on how quickly the current La Niña dissipates, and that the potential is not yet a forecast of drought.
Risk of a dry summer in the western Corn Belt would add weather premium to corn and soybean futures, though the signal is still early and uncertain.
在过去 1,465 次看涨的天气事件之后,玉米 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.2%(54% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +1.9%),20 个交易日内为 +0.9%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。