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The Illinois State Climatologist summarizes the NWS first-half 2018 outlook, which expects La Niña to fade in spring into ENSO-neutral conditions. Illinois is forecast to see a higher chance of above-normal precipitation in February and February-March-April, with a higher chance of below-normal temperatures in spring.
Wetter conditions could ease existing Illinois moisture deficits, which is mildly bearish for corn and soybean weather premiums, although flooding risk remains.
在过去 445 次中性的天气事件之后,玉米 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.1%(52% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +1.6%),20 个交易日内为 +0.7%。
在过去 324 次中性的天气事件之后,大豆 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.0%(52% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +1.7%),20 个交易日内为 +0.7%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。