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Kansas State's Agronomy eUpdate says a weak La Niña is present and is expected to peak and then weaken into spring. Historically La Niña is strongly associated with drier-than-normal weather, and only two of 15 past La Niña events brought above-normal Kansas precipitation in February through April.
A drier-than-normal spring in Kansas raises the risk to hard red winter wheat and early corn planting, which can support prices for feed grains.
在过去 322 次看涨的天气事件之后,小麦(HRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.1%(49% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -2.5% 至 +3.2%),20 个交易日内为 +1.0%。
在过去 1,465 次看涨的天气事件之后,玉米 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.2%(54% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +1.9%),20 个交易日内为 +0.9%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。