CBOT soybean oil rose 7% after the US government published its 2017 biofuel framework, which set the renewable fuel target at 19.28 billion gallons. Soybean futures firmed in sympathy, while soybean meal fell and wheat and corn were roughly unchanged amid a strong dollar.
The higher renewable volume requirement pulls soybean oil stocks lower, as the USDA's end-2016/17 soyoil stock estimate is expected to fall sharply, supporting oil prices. Meal weakens because crushing for oil output adds meal supply.
在过去 842 次看涨的政策事件之后,SBO 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.2%(52% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.6% 至 +2.1%),20 个交易日内为 -0.5%。
在过去 356 次看涨的政策事件之后,SOY 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.1%(53% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.2% 至 +2.3%),20 个交易日内为 -0.9%。
在过去 223 次看跌的政策事件之后,SBM 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.3%(45% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -2.2% 至 +1.2%),20 个交易日内为 -0.6%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。